UPDATE 2-Swedish Q1 GDP surges, July rat…

STOCKHOLM, May 28 (Reuters) – Sweden’s arrangement grew rather

than contracted at the end of 2009 and the convalescence has gained

far more traction than forecast this year, figures showed,

material a July rate hike more likely and boosting the crown

transmission from hand to hand.

Finance Minister Anders Borg said Friday’s data, which

showed before anything else quarter gross domestic product grew 1.4 percent

from the foregoing three months, pointed to a strong upturn and

indicated GDP forecasts force be revised up.

Most Swedish indicators of recent months have on condition cause

for optimism following the country’s worst recession since World

War Two be unconsumed year.

Until the past few weeks, when concerns about Greece’s offence

woes spreading to other parts of Europe began to intensify,

analysts had pencilled in July ~ the sake of the first rate hike since the

financial crisis.

Now with con~ed evidence Sweden’s economy is expanding

robustly, the balance of estimation is again swinging towards the

Riksbank hiking rates from a enroll low of 0.25 percent this

summer, helping the crown to not fluid against the euro.

‘We’ve said that they will hike in July and this indicates

that they disposition in fact do this,’ said Annika Winsth, economist

at Nordea.

‘This is a influential figure and the fact that the profile looks

different, that things have been stronger for a longer period,

that is also a compact signal.’

The data offered a marked contrast to economic developments

amid most of Sweden’s European neighbours. First quarter growth

in a euro baldric since weighed down by fresh austerity measures in

several states came in at a of no consequence 0.2 percent, data released

earlier this month showed.

The honor was around 0.6 percent stronger against the euro

on Thursday, mercantile at around 9.67 against the single currency.

It was pressingly 1 percent firmer against the dollar at

around 7.78 rear trading above 8 earlier this week on worries

over fiscal problems in meridional Europe. Yields on Swedish bonds

rose.

RECOVERY

First quarter GDP grew 1.4 percent from the continue quarter of

2009 and rose 3.0 percent from a year earlier, Sweden’s

statistics service said.

Quarterly figures for the final three months of last year

were revised to evidence output grew 0.4 percent. Previously they

had been shown shrinking at a like pace.

The figures compared with forecasts for 0.9 percent shooting

in the quarter and an expansion of 0.6 percent from a year

earlier, according to a Reuters inspect of economists.

The central bank said in April it would willingly be time to

start returning borrowing costs to more normal levels, pointing

to either summer or early autumn for a hike.

Analysts expected worries from one to another the housing market and

surging lending to push the Riksbank into impressive sooner rather

than later, but Greece’s debt crisis has made the timing of a

hike additional problematic.

Data published this week also showed an unexpected jump in

unemployment in April, under which circumstances falling retail sales in April are

another factor which could make the Riksbank more cautious in

raising rates.

The NIER think-reservoir, which prepares forecasts for the

government, also pointed to muted self-complacency pressure ahead.

‘That we now see productivity on its way up is event

that will dampen cost pressures, so it is not self-plain that

one should draw the conclusion that they (the Riksbank) faculty of volition

carry out a tighter monetary policy due to the (GDP) configuration,’

NIER Director Mats Dillen said.

(Editing by Ruth Pitchford, John Stonestreet)

Keywords: SWEDEN GDP/

(Stockholm Newsroom, tel: +46-8-700 1017, e-armor: stockholm.newsroom@reuters.com)

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