UPDATE 2-Swedish Q1 GDP surges, July rat…
STOCKHOLM, May 28 (Reuters) – Sweden’s arrangement grew rather
than contracted at the end of 2009 and the convalescence has gained
far more traction than forecast this year, figures showed,
material a July rate hike more likely and boosting the crown
transmission from hand to hand.
Finance Minister Anders Borg said Friday’s data, which
showed before anything else quarter gross domestic product grew 1.4 percent
from the foregoing three months, pointed to a strong upturn and
indicated GDP forecasts force be revised up.
Most Swedish indicators of recent months have on condition cause
for optimism following the country’s worst recession since World
War Two be unconsumed year.
Until the past few weeks, when concerns about Greece’s offence
woes spreading to other parts of Europe began to intensify,
analysts had pencilled in July ~ the sake of the first rate hike since the
financial crisis.
Now with con~ed evidence Sweden’s economy is expanding
robustly, the balance of estimation is again swinging towards the
Riksbank hiking rates from a enroll low of 0.25 percent this
summer, helping the crown to not fluid against the euro.
‘We’ve said that they will hike in July and this indicates
that they disposition in fact do this,’ said Annika Winsth, economist
at Nordea.
‘This is a influential figure and the fact that the profile looks
different, that things have been stronger for a longer period,
that is also a compact signal.’
The data offered a marked contrast to economic developments
amid most of Sweden’s European neighbours. First quarter growth
in a euro baldric since weighed down by fresh austerity measures in
several states came in at a of no consequence 0.2 percent, data released
earlier this month showed.
The honor was around 0.6 percent stronger against the euro
on Thursday, mercantile at around 9.67 against the single currency.
It was pressingly 1 percent firmer against the dollar at
around 7.78 rear trading above 8 earlier this week on worries
over fiscal problems in meridional Europe. Yields on Swedish bonds
rose.
RECOVERY
First quarter GDP grew 1.4 percent from the continue quarter of
2009 and rose 3.0 percent from a year earlier, Sweden’s
statistics service said.
Quarterly figures for the final three months of last year
were revised to evidence output grew 0.4 percent. Previously they
had been shown shrinking at a like pace.
The figures compared with forecasts for 0.9 percent shooting
in the quarter and an expansion of 0.6 percent from a year
earlier, according to a Reuters inspect of economists.
The central bank said in April it would willingly be time to
start returning borrowing costs to more normal levels, pointing
to either summer or early autumn for a hike.
Analysts expected worries from one to another the housing market and
surging lending to push the Riksbank into impressive sooner rather
than later, but Greece’s debt crisis has made the timing of a
hike additional problematic.
Data published this week also showed an unexpected jump in
unemployment in April, under which circumstances falling retail sales in April are
another factor which could make the Riksbank more cautious in
raising rates.
The NIER think-reservoir, which prepares forecasts for the
government, also pointed to muted self-complacency pressure ahead.
‘That we now see productivity on its way up is event
that will dampen cost pressures, so it is not self-plain that
one should draw the conclusion that they (the Riksbank) faculty of volition
carry out a tighter monetary policy due to the (GDP) configuration,’
NIER Director Mats Dillen said.
(Editing by Ruth Pitchford, John Stonestreet)
Keywords: SWEDEN GDP/
(Stockholm Newsroom, tel: +46-8-700 1017, e-armor: stockholm.newsroom@reuters.com)
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