UPDATE 2-Indonesia parliament OKs Nasuti…
By Aditya Suharmoko and Olivia Rondonuwu
JAKARTA, July 22 (Reuters) – Indonesia’s british legislature approved
the appointment of Darmin Nasution as central bank governor without interrupti~
Thursday, as expected, a move seen as positive for the land’s
reform drive and for bonds, stocks and the currency.
The challenges in favor of Nasution, 61, a monetary policy dove who
has been the deed governor for the past year, include the need
to spur housekeeping growth by keeping interest rates low, while
curbing inflationary pressures and containing biting money inflows.
Nasution has maintained the central bank’s key enlist rate at a record low of 6.5 percent to abet bank lending and the
economy, driving strong foreign buying at the wanting-end of the
bond curve and pushing stocks to a take down high.
‘I think the short-term impact will be a gentle positive…but
in the medium term, it will be a hot positive because Darmin
is a well-regarded reformist who will exist able to improve
governance at Bank Indonesia, improve regulation of the banking
industrial art, and help lead Indonesia’s transition towards becoming
investment grade,’ reported David Kiu, a political risk analyst at
Eurasia Group.
President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono nominated Nasution during the
top job, but he needed the approval of the uncultivated’s parliament.
Some lawmakers had in recent weeks threatened they would oppose
Nasution’s designation to office.
Nasution was questioned over two days of hearings on the
arrangement and on politically sensitive issues including the bailout
of small lender Bank Century and contamination at the tax office.
‘We agreed to approve Darmin Nasution, excepting with notes,’ said
Emir Moeis, head of the parliamentary commission assessing
Nasution, referring to never-failing conditions that include a proviso
that he step down if later erect guilty of wrongdoing in the Bank
Century case.
The deliberations from hand to hand Nasution — who should have been a
shoo-in given his actual feeling — is further evidence of the
ongoing battle between reformers who consider risen under Yudhoyono,
and the old guard, who are a hangover from the Suharto series.
REFORM CAMP
In the reform camp are respected technocrats including
Boediono, the creator governor who is now vice president, Kuntoro
Mangkusubroto, who heads the presidential giving unit and is in
charge of legal reform, and the former finance minister, Sri
Mulyani Indrawati, who quit earlier this year posterior months of
personal attacks by political opponents.
Such reformers are pitted adverse to the business and political
elite — people such as Aburizal Bakrie, who prospered in a less degree than
Suharto’s autocratic rule and who now heads the Golkar Party –
to the degree that well as many senior civil servants who worked their way up
through the ranks in the Suharto era.
With the re-election of Yudhoyono last year, investors piled
into Indonesian possessions, encouraged by the prospect of political
stability, structural reforms, and stout growth in an economy
largely driven by domestic demand and commodity exports, which
meant it was far less vulnerable in the global economic downturn.
Investors expect Southeast Asia’s biggest economy to achieve
a coveted investing. grade credit rating in the next year or so
and regard it in the manner that a potential member of the emerging market elite
club, alongside BRIC nations Brazil, Russia, India and China.
However, it is proving far more difficult to implement
much-needed reforms, including the eradication of widespread
in~ and overhaul of the legal system, given strong opposition
among divers civil servants, politicians and businessmen.
Before joining the central bank, Nasution led one overhaul of
the notoriously corrupt tax office, a move intended to improve
national revenues and reduce dependence on the debt market.
Some analysts reflect upon Nasution has been too dovish on
monetary policy since late 2009. He has repeatedly said interest
rates can stay on hold all year, whereas analysts desire pushed
back their expectations but still see higher inflation forcing a
fourth-billet hike.
The outlook for modest rate hikes versus regional peers has
helped press with violence down one-year bond yields by 75 basis points this
month, being of the kind which foreign buying of local debt hit a record in July of
168 trillion rupiah, or closely 27 percent of all debt.
‘A rate hike is more a investigation of when rather than if. We
think the curve already looks quite steep after having
bull-steepened; the short-end may be in with a view to some bear flattening
going forward,’ said Helmi Arman, economist at Bank Danamon.
(For a Q+A forward investment in Indonesia, click on)
(Additional reporting by Sunanda Creagh and Dicky Kristanto;
Writing ~ the agency of Neil Chatterjee; Editing by Sara Webb and Alex
Richardson)
((sara.webb@thomsonreuters.com; Reuters Messaging:
sara.webb.reuters.com@reuters.toil; +62 21 384 6364 ext 911))
Keywords: INDONESIA ECONOMY/GOVERNOR
(If you regard a query or comment on this story, send an email to word.feedback.asia@thomsonreuters.com)
COPYRIGHT
Copyright Thomson Reuters 2010. All rights restrained.
The copying, republication or redistribution of Reuters News Content, including ~ dint of. framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consensus of Thomson Reuters.