INSTANT VIEW 4-US jobless claims rise in…
NEW YORK, April 8 (Reuters) – The number of U.S. workers
filing new claims for unemployment insurance rose unexpectedly
last week, reflecting seasonal volatility, according to a
government report on Thursday.
Story: Table:
KEY POINTS:
* Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 18,000 to
a seasonally adjusted 460,000, the Labor Department said.
* Analysts polled by Reuters expected claims to edge down to
435,000 from a previously reported 439,000 the prior week.
* A Labor Department official attributed the rise in claims to
seasonal volatility, mainly from the Easter holiday, and noted
there were shutdowns in two states.
* A holiday on March 31 in California also had an effect on
claims, he said.
COMMENTS:
MICHAEL STRAUSS, CHIEF ECONOMIST, COMMONFUND, WILTON,
CONNECTICUT:
‘The numbers are not significant. We have some distortions
associated with when Easter and Good Friday fall, that the
seasonal patterns don’t necessarily do a great job either the
week before the holidays or the week after.
‘It’s possible because of the heavy flooding we had in
parts of the United States a week or two ago that some of what
should have shown up as claims during that period didn’t occur
because people didn’t go to the unemployment offices. Now
they’re showing up in a little bit of a lag basis.’
JOHN CANALLY, ECONOMIST/INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, LPL FINANCIAL,
BOSTON:
‘It looks like this stem from difficulties with seasonally
adjustment with Easter. The four-week average is moving in the
right direction so that suggests decent growth in the coming
months. I expect claims to snap back down lower next week after
the Easter effect.
‘The labor market is improving but it still has a ways to
go. There is underlying strength emerging. People realize that
Easter has distorted the data.
‘I’m actually more impressed with the monthly retail sales
numbers. Heading into 2010, people had underestimated the
consumers.’
WAYNE KAUFMAN, CHIEF MARKET ANALYST, JOHN THOMAS FINANCIAL,
NEW YORK:
‘The jobless claims are a little disappointing. Based on
the recent news we’ve had from the service industries, you’d
expect that we would begin to see hiring right about now. The
backlog of orders in the services industries was the highest
since August 2007, so at a point, employers are going to have
to make the decision to add employees or risk losing business.
Obviously they can’t tell people to wait a long time to get
their needs fulfilled. So the claims data is disappointing. We
are in the time when we need to see jobs created or the
unemployment rate start to come down.’
LINDSAY PIEGZA, ECONOMIST, FTN FINANCIAL, NEW YORK:
‘It’s really surprising because we did have such a strong
March non-farm payroll report which did suggest the labor
market had turned around. It certainly doesn’t reverse the
improving trend we’ve seen over the past few weeks but it is
troubling that we aren’t continuing this trend.
‘This does question the idea that perhaps the March report
was an anomaly, perhaps a bit too strong.
‘This is certainly the firs look at the April jobs market
and it does not start off the second quarter on a positive
note.
‘Looking at continuing claims we did take a larger step
down in continuing claims. What this suggests is there are
still several different variables pushing against each other.
We’re going to continue to see struggles in the labor market as
all of these different factors come into play.
‘I think the market’s going to take this with a grain of
salt and wait until there’s more information.’
WIN THIN, CURRENCY STRATEGIST, BROWN BROTHERS HARRIMAN, NEW
YORK:
‘It looks mixed. Think people will be looking more towards
the retail sales data next week. That and the inflation data
are the big data points. The market is comfortable with the
U.S. labor market. Greece and to a lesser extent China are back
in the forefront right now. The U.S. is going to outperform the
rest of the world.’
MARKET REACTION:
STOCKS: U.S. stock index futures ad to losses
BONDS: U.S. Treasury debt prices edge higher
DOLLAR: U.S. dollar extends losses versus
Keywords: USA ECONOMY/JOBLESS
(Reporting by New York Treasuries Desk; +1-646 223-6300)
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